Will Syria Disintegrate into Sectarian Statelets?

Will Syria Disintegrate into Sectarian Statelets?
Stories | 25 Nov 2015

By: Mohammad Suleiman


Slowly but surely international players are each trading among themselves partition pkans based on their own respective interests, each according to their vision for the future; then these are leaked to us at every possible opportunity through media servile to them, portrayed in Hollywood movies at other times, then printed into expensive books and folders at other times. Perhaps it is the politicians policy of programming and training minds to accept the ideas of ​​partition, division, and separation. It seems that these old-new policies have borne fruit in the past, with the promise of a good harvest in the near future. Arab peoples in countries ravaged by war and chaos began to tend to surrender to the idea of ​​security in return for freedom. Thus, who will control the fates of these countries will not be the people, that know themselves very well, and know that they do not want separation; that it will not be in their interest to pass through yet newer artificial boundaries other than those already existing, and pay large sums of money from one land to the other.

In mid-December of 2013, The New York Times published a policy document that it claimed comprised information from Middle East experts and historians. The document talked about the (Arab Spring) as an entry to the fragmentation of the Middle East. The newspaper said then that this division will be through a series of wars, both large and small, with the battles eventually leading to the modification of the 1916 boundaries set by the Sykes-Picot agreement; as these old boundaries will not hold up long in front of international variables and amazing transformations that may surprise the whole world.

Not much later following the publication of that document, ISIS began its expansion setting the boundaries of its alleged state to be the starting point in transforming the thought of the Arab peoples toward accepting the idea of ​​border changes; even to sense the need for this latest division. The Kurds' defense of their lands and homes played a major role in consolidating the concept of "land belongs to those who defend it;" thus any future claims to self-rule will not seem far-fetched, especially since a number of European countries are encouraging them to this end, particularly Germany, that spared no effort in providing assistance to the Kurds.

Part of the Alawites in Syria refuse to engulf their children and youth in the battlefields, and even began to see the idea of ​​creation of an Alawite-Christian state as having become a necessity; particularly with the security situation running out of control in the rest of the Syrian territories, and sectarian divisions becoming even stronger than previous decades. Part of Lebanon may be included in this new frontier, according to the revelations of French expert (Jean-Pierre Luizard), who did not rule out a new demarcation of the border in the region that comprises Lebanon, Syria and Iraq in the first place.

It is becoming clear that the separation will be imposed onto the region in one form or another, depending on the multitude of data circulated among international politicians. If one looks at the recent past, one finds that every hint or signal to divide one country or another was invariably followed by wars or global crises, with thousands of people killed, with the end result certainly being fragmentation and division .

Condoleezza Rice wrote an article in "Foreign Policy" when she was at the National Security Council before becoming US Secretary of State, calling for the division of Iraq into three separate countries. This project was one of the important (and undeclared) reasons prompting George W. Bush to go to war in 2003. In the near past, the US Administration had released hundreds of projects referring to the inevitability of change coming to the region, and the need for the demise of the states and kingdoms that have long been US allies, in preparation for the great upheaval in American politics. The first few letters of this upheaval have presently been formulated into an agreement of understanding with Iran; one that will most probably be followed with the courting of the Russians and the Chinese.

 

* Opinion articles do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Rozana.


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